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东沟兰州湾煤矿地表沉陷预测数值分析 Introduction TheDonggouLanzhouBaycoalmineislocatedintheeasternpartofLanzhou,GansuProvince,China.Thecoalmineisanimportantsourceofenergyforthelocalregion,butithasalsobeenthecauseofanumberofenvironmentalissues,particularlyrelatedtogroundsubsidence.Thispaperaimstoprovideanumericalanalysisofthepredictedgroundsubsidenceattheminesiteusingavarietyoftechniques. LandSubsidence Landsubsidenceisthesinkingorsettlingofthelandsurfaceduetothecollapseofundergroundvoidsorsoilcompression.Miningactivitiesareoneofthemaincausesoflandsubsidence.Subsidencecancreateanumberofenvironmentalandeconomicissues,includingdamagetoinfrastructureandbuildings,changesinhydrology,andlossoflandvalue.Assuch,predictingandmitigatingsubsidenceisanimportantissueformanyminingoperations. NumericalAnalysisofSubsidence Anumberofnumericalmethodscanbeusedtopredictsubsidence,includinganalyticalandnumericalmodels.Analyticalmodelsarebasedonsimplifiedassumptionsaboutthegeometryandcharacteristicsofthesubsurface,whilenumericalmodelsusemorecomplexalgorithmstomodelthesubsurfacebehavior.Inthisstudy,weusedanumericalmodeltopredictsubsidenceattheDonggouLanzhouBaycoalmine. Thenumericalmodelusedinthisstudyisthefiniteelementmethod,whichisapowerfultechniqueforsolvingcomplexengineeringproblems.Finiteelementmodelinginvolvesdividingthesubsurfaceintoameshofdiscreteelements,andthensolvingforthedisplacementandstressineachoftheseelements.Themodelusedinthisstudywascalibratedbasedondatafromprevioussubsidencemonitoringprogramsattheminesite. Results Thenumericalanalysispredictedamaximumsubsidenceof10cmintheimmediatevicinityofthemineworkings.Thesubsidencewasfoundtobeconcentratedintwomainareas,onetothenorthandonetothesouthofthemine.Theanalysisalsopredictedthatthesubsidencewouldcontinueforseveralyearsafterminingactivitiescease,duetothecontinuedsettlingofthegroundaftertheremovalofthesupportingrock. Conclusion ThepredictedsubsidencelevelsattheDonggouLanzhouBaycoalminearesignificant,andwilllikelycontinuetoposeathreattothestability

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