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1990-2009年珠三角县域城市潜力的时空关联分析(英文) Spatial-TemporalCorrelationAnalysisofCounty-LevelUrbanPotentialinthePearlRiverDeltaRegionfrom1990to2009 Introduction ThePearlRiverDelta(PRD)regionisoneofthemosteconomicallydynamicregionsinChina,withalonghistoryofurbanization.TheregionincludesninecitiesinGuangdongProvinceandischaracterizedbysmallandmedium-sizedtownssurroundedbyrapidlygrowingurbanareas.Sincethe1980s,urbanizationinthePRDhasundergoneasignificanttransformation,withtheestablishmentofanetworkofcitiesandtownsthathaveintegratedwitheachothertoformafunctionalurbansystem.Thedevelopmentofthisurbansystemhasbeendrivenbyeconomicgrowth,industrialization,andarapidincreaseinpopulation. Inthispaper,weanalyzethespatialandtemporalcorrelationsofurbanpotentialinthePRDfrom1990to2009atthecountylevel.ThisstudyaimstoprovideinsightsonthetransformationoftheurbanlandscapeinthePRDovertime. DataandMethodology Wecollecteddataonurbanizationfrom1990to2009inthePRD,includingdataonpopulation,GrossDomesticProduct(GDP),urbanizationrate,andurbanizationlevel.WeusedGeographicInformationSystem(GIS)technologytospatiallyanalyzeurbanpotentialintheregion.Wealsousedregressionanalysistoexaminetherelationshipbetweenurbanizationandurbanpotential. Results Ouranalysisshowedthatfrom1990to2009,urbanizationinthePRDincreasedrapidly,withsignificantgrowthinpopulation,GDP,andurbanizationlevel.Duringthisperiod,thePRDregiontransformedfromanagricultural-basedeconomytoamanufacturing-andservice-basedeconomy. WefoundthatthespatialdistributionofurbanpotentialwasuneveninthePRD.Theurbanpotentialwasconcentratedinthecentralandeasternregions,reflectingthesignificantdevelopmentofthemanufacturingandservicesectorsintheseareas.Thewesternregion,whichhasaweakereconomicdevelopmentbase,hadalowerlevelofurbanpotential. Moreover,thecorrelationanalysisshowedthaturbanizationhadapositiveimpactonurbanpotentialinthePRD.TheregressionanalysisconfirmedthaturbanizationrateandGDPhadasignificantrelationshipwithurbanpotentialintheregion. DiscussionandConclusion Fr

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