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干散货船运力供给分析 Abstract: Drybulkshippingisanimportantpartoftheglobalmaritimeindustry.Thesupplyofdrybulkshipshasasignificantimpactonglobalcommoditytradeandtheglobaleconomy.Thispaperanalyzesthesupplyofdrybulkshippingcapacity,includingthefleetsofmajordrybulkshippingcompaniesandthefactorsimpactingthesupplyofdrybulkships.Thepaperfurtherdiscussestheoutlookforthesupplyofdrybulkshipsinthefuture. Introduction: Drybulkshippingreferstothetransportationofbulkcargothatisnotpackaged,suchasironore,coal,grains,andores.Drybulkshippingisanessentialcomponentofglobaltradeandaccountsformorethan50%ofthetotalvolumeofseabornetrade.Thesupplyofdrybulkshippingcapacity,i.e.,thenumberofshipsavailabletotransportdrybulkcargo,playsacrucialroleintheglobaleconomy.Thispaperanalyzesthesupplyofdrybulkshippingcapacityanditsimpactonglobaltrade. AnalysisofDryBulkShippingCapacity: Thesupplyofdrybulkshippingcapacityhasbeenincreasingovertheyears.Asof2021,thetotaldrybulkfleetsizewasaround9,200vessels,withatotaldeadweighttonnage(DWT)of816millionmetrictons.ThefleetisdominatedbyPanamax,Capesize,andHandysizevessels,whichaccountforaround80%ofthetotalfleetsize. MajorDryBulkShippingCompanies: Thedrybulkshippingindustryisdominatedbyahandfulofmajorplayers.Thetop10drybulkshippingcompaniesownaround35%ofthetotaldrybulkfleet.Thelargestcompany,ChinaCOSCOShippingCorporationLimited,ownsaround838ships,withatotalDWTof85.32millionmetrictons.OthermajorplayersincludeMitsuiO.S.K.Lines,Ltd.(MOL),NipponYusenKabushikiKaisha(NYK),andDianaShippingInc. FactorsImpactingtheSupplyofDryBulkShips: Thesupplyofdrybulkshipsisimpactedbyseveralfactors,including: 1.NewbuildDeliveries:Thedeliveryofnewshipssignificantlyimpactsthesupplyofdrybulkships.Thenumberofnewshipsdeliveredinaparticularyeardirectlyaffectsthegrowthrateofthefleet. 2.Scrapping:Thescrappingofoldershipsreducesthesupplyofdrybulkships.Thedecisiontoscrapashipisprimarilydrivenbytheage,condition,andefficiencyofthevessel. 3.MarketConditions:Thesupplyofdrybulkshipsisalsoinfluencedbymarketcondit

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