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基于PVAR对贷款、FDI和出口贸易互动关系的实证分析 Title:AnEmpiricalAnalysisoftheInteractionbetweenLoans,FDI,andExportTradebasedonPVAR Abstract: Thispaperaimstoinvestigatethedynamicinterplaybetweenloans,foreigndirectinvestment(FDI),andexporttradeusingaPanelVectorAutoregression(PVAR)model.Thestudyemploysacomprehensivedatasetfromvariouseconomiestoanalyzetheshortandlong-termrelationshipamongthesevariables.Thefindingsprovidevaluableinsightsintothecomplexdynamicsandinterdependenciesbetweenloans,FDI,andexporttrade,whichwillbebeneficialforpolicymakersandmarketparticipantstomakeinformeddecisions. 1.Introduction: Theglobalizationoffinancialmarketsandtheincreasingintegrationofeconomieshaveledtocloserconnectionsbetweenloans,FDI,andexporttrade.Understandingtherelationshipbetweenthesevariablesiscrucialforpolicymakersandmarketparticipantstoeffectivelymanagerisksandpromoteeconomicgrowth.Thepurposeofthisstudyistoprovideanempiricalanalysisoftheinteractionbetweenloans,FDI,andexporttradefromaglobalperspective,usingaPVARframework. 2.LiteratureReview: Previousstudieshaveexploredtherelationshipbetweenloans,FDI,andexporttradeusingvariouseconometrictechniques.However,limitedresearchhasfocusedonthedynamicsandinterdependenciesamongthesevariables.PVARmodelsallowfortheexaminationofdynamicrelationships,capturingbothshortandlong-termeffects.SomestudieshaveemployedPVARanalysistoinvestigatesimilarrelationshipsinspecificcountriesorregions,butacomprehensiveglobalanalysisislacking. 3.Methodology: ThisstudyemploysaPVARmodeltoinvestigatethedynamicinteractionbetweenloans,FDI,andexporttrade.Thedatasetusedincludesloandata,FDIinflows,andexporttradevaluesfromvariouseconomiesoveraspecifictimeperiod.ThePVARmodelallowsfortheestimationofimpulseresponsefunctions,whichshowthereactionofeachvariablewhensubjectedtoashockintheothervariables. 4.EmpiricalResults: Theempiricalanalysisrevealsseveralkeyfindingsregardingtheinteractionbetweenloans,FDI,andexporttrade.Firstly,loanshaveapositiveandsignificantimpactonFDIinflows,indicatingthataccessto

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